Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2.066309 2.392814 2.751837 3.175599 3.661809 4.201938 4.847209
2025-02-23 1.516594 1.919240 2.400266 3.016174 3.782768 4.704419 5.895595
2025-03-02 1.134204 1.552576 2.090280 2.829683 3.817613 5.089506 6.848631
2025-03-09 0.924050 1.357023 1.950972 2.821152 4.058948 5.751265 8.234823
2025-03-16 0.744718 1.166577 1.780851 2.734313 4.169822 6.241873 9.449188
2025-03-23 0.666062 1.105487 1.780361 2.883140 4.629142 7.272940 11.561634
2025-03-30 0.590246 1.033776 1.749455 2.975803 5.009486 8.227046 13.674948
2025-04-06 0.512145 0.943730 1.673316 2.980530 5.244314 8.975507 15.549792
2025-04-13 0.422529 0.817899 1.517034 2.824744 5.185653 9.232393 16.639099
2025-04-20 0.384806 0.778788 1.504327 2.914944 5.558450 10.250984 19.135840
2025-04-27 0.359836 0.759256 1.523236 3.063105 6.050622 11.528603 22.230828
2025-05-04 0.327817 0.720341 1.499295 3.125145 6.386900 12.557544 24.981800
2025-05-11 0.294372 0.674535 1.458140 3.153482 6.673448 13.548724 27.823912
2025-05-18 0.254679 0.608708 1.366770 3.066862 6.719743 14.085150 29.852256
2025-05-25 0.215841 0.537889 1.253933 2.917736 6.615185 14.306656 31.271444
2025-06-01 0.194977 0.505071 1.218957 2.932874 6.861612 15.271457 34.335544
2025-06-08 0.170606 0.459474 1.148127 2.856460 6.895478 15.791328 36.513416
2025-06-15 0.164059 0.457372 1.178586 3.020202 7.494797 17.600226 41.709302
2025-06-22 0.154333 0.445330 1.183210 3.122276 7.962750 19.168811 46.541833
2025-06-29 0.140660 0.420277 1.151696 3.130280 8.205611 20.251510 50.380172
2025-07-06 0.120697 0.374104 1.058958 2.968667 8.008612 20.285120 51.756073
2025-07-13 0.114189 0.365448 1.064086 3.064316 8.474988 21.954063 57.251152
2025-07-20 0.110509 0.364570 1.090268 3.220409 9.118047 24.124255 64.214211